FoG

This promotion has now been ended by the online bookmaker. Read my tips on free bet promotions here . This is a case study of how to put that into use. These are the tips that the bookies don't want you to know. 888sport.com banned me within two months for winning too much. 888sport offer an Acca Club promotion : The 1st rule of ‘The Acca club’ is 3 legs or more! Get your weekly FREE BETS!   Simply: Register  - Join  'The Acca Club' . Bet  - Make as many multiple bets of €5+ as you can each week. Get  - Earn yourself a Free Bet that you can use on any multiple! With 888sport.com for 6 multiples of €5+ you earn a €10 free bet. So this is what I did. See image left for quick way of picking 6 multiples. Pick 5 matches as close to odds of 1.1 as possible (1.1 is the minimum odds, anything less than this won't qualify you for the promotion). Click permutations, click the "Bankers" toggle switch, and finally select the match...

For these tips I am taking advantage of paddypower.com 's free bet promotion. In May I won over €100 on this strategy on the Premier League matches. These profits are documented in my latest article here . Since that article PaddyPower have continued the promotion on some International friendlies and some Copa America fixtures. In June I have managed to win another clear €100. The key now is to place my real money bets on outcomes at 1/2 (this is the shortest odds allowed by the promotion). By betting on shortest odds possible and combining outcomes I am able to guarantee the minimum risk for my real money. This frees me up to be creative with the free bets - here I am always looking for 13/2 or 7/1 odds for my free bets (to see why - read here ). This way I had Paraguay at 13/2 in-play against Brazil to qualify for the Semi Final. I also had 6 plus goals backed in-play in the Argentina/Peru match at 13/2. I won about €30 on each of these. Both were free bets. The free bets...

With Paddy Power if you place a €20 bet on any Premier League game that's live on Sky or BT Sports then Paddy Power are giving you two free €5 in play bets. I am making decent money on this promotion which now also applies to some of the Champions Leagues matches. I am not affiliated with Paddy Power and will also call them out when they run a bad promotion for example the  20% bonus on five fold accumulators . This new promotion though seems legitimate. Here is how you can potentially make money on this promotion.  1. Bet €20 on pre-match favourite to earn your free bets. 2. After kick off cover yourself as soon as possible by using one free bet on a draw and the other on an underdog victory. We discovered before, that the best value in the win-draw-win market is generally on the favourite . So before kick off put your own hard earned cash on the favourite to win. Then wait for kickoff, and wait for your free bets to register, it should be within 5 minutes. A...

LoI LMS Last year I posted about the Paddy Power Last Man standing competition which was specific for the English Premiership. I have now discovered a new free  one for the League of Ireland with a prize of  € 200 . It is starting this coming weekend.  You need to play on your smart device - details are on their website here . My experience is that about 50% of players will fall in each round - so the winning plan really depends on the number of players entering.  In the English Premier League version of the competition it was likely that you would not have to pick every team but in the LoI (with less teams) it is quite likely that you will have to pick every team at least once. There are over 100 players already entered with still 3 days to the closing date and most people will leave it to the last minute. Also bear in mind that this tournament allows you to buy back in once. So lets assume that we will have to plan to win at least 12 rounds - i.e. ...

#EPL #TopScorer some movement on the top scorer. #Aguero starting at 3/1 back in June/July. Now at 6/1!! pic.twitter.com/ZvsKMBeqnI — FoG (@davidheaney1978) August 15, 2014 So you read my tweet back in August about Aguero and decided to back him for top scorer at what really was an incredible 6/1 offer.  You backed him on Paddy Power who were offering a   € 2 free bet every time your player scores.  Now you are getting all these   € 2  free bets and don't know what to do with them. The important thing to realise is that the terms of the offer mean that you only get the winnings from the bet, the free stake is not returned.   So there is absolutely no risk, which is the main reason why you would normally stay away from the long shots ie you lose  € 2  euro each time until the underdog eventually comes in and then you win relatively big.  Normally this would all balance out but the free bet rules bring in a new dynamic to our reasoning...

For each team there are bound to be many peaks and troughs throughout the season.  This strategy is to back teams when they are down - when their odds are long.  It takes guts but can pay off.   It will be important to be able to anticipate when a team's odds will lengthen or shorten.  For example it may have been worth waiting till now to back Man City.  They were to face Liverpool, Arsenal and Chelsea in their first 5 matches.  It was always likely that they would drop some points over that period and hence their odds would lengthen.  The result is that you can get them at better value now than compared to the start of the season. Lets have a look at this strategy in practice.  The graph below charts the rise and fall of the 5 premier league favourites.  As you can see there has already been quite a bit of movement over just the first 5 matches.  Marked on the chart is the longest odds over the first weeks for each team. odds...

Paddy Power are running an interesting free   Last Man Standing  competition.  The prize for each competition is  € 1000.   I have done some brief analysis on the previous competitions which are archived on the site, and here are the results for 2013/2014 Season . In 2013/14  competitions ran for an average of about 14 weeks.  So in that case you would never have to pick the 6 worst teams.  However some competitions have gone on for 16 weeks.  So to be on the safe side you should plan 16 winning picks.  Therefore, you will never have to pick any of the worst 4 teams.  (Going by bookie's odds rather than current position in table, the current position can be influenced by tough run of games or one lucky/unlucky result). odds to finish bottom Unfortunately you will have to pick all the other teams once, even Leicester and Newcastle.   I am basing my strategy on three simple rules. Rule 1. Always pick a home win (h...

"There is no such thing as a sure thing." Opportunities come up from time to time where y ou can proportion your wagers on each outcome for a  guaranteed pay out .  Some examples can be found here -  http://www.betbrain.com/surebets/ .  What is the drawback to this apparent  free money ? The drawback  is that often times you have to sign up to several different bookmaker websites to get the advantage.  The hassle to sign up may not be worth the small margins in your opinion.  There may also be minimum deposits and different limitations and hassles in depositing and withdrawing your cash on each bookmaker website that may   also  turn you off. By the time you have set up the accounts on the appropriate bookie websites the odds may also have changed.  Thus resulting in a missed opportunity .  Even worse, you may lose money if the odds change after you already have placed the bet on one of the websites. So keep al...

Meet Paolo Paroli.  Signor Paroli is an easy going type of guy.  He works as a waiter in a small pizza place in Milan.  He enjoys his job but at the end of the week there is not much left out of his pay cheque. Paroli is soccer mad like most italians.  He likes to have a regular punt on the weekend matches.  He doesn't mind small losses every now and again and chases the adrenaline rush of a big win.  He can only make small bets, its all he can afford, but he has created his own system.   He saves just €10 from his tips per week to play his system.  If the bet wins he adds it to his stake for the next week.  This way he can push his winnings and eventually win big.  When his winnings exceed € 1000 he pockets the total and starts again from  € 10.  To even further limit the risk Paroli decides to bet on the strongest favourites each week. Paroli began his system in 2002.  His first season was not the most ...