Posts

Showing posts from July, 2015

A Betfair offer to rival Paddy Power?

Image
Last season Paddy Power ran a promo on the top goalscorer in the Premier League. They are bringing it back this season to my delight. I have my bets in already - see here . Betfair don't want to lose the market to Paddy and have come out with a similar offer. See their website here . Paddy Power vs Betfair The Original offer. 1. You only need to stake €20. This is a pro. The Bookie is sure to have a nice little edge built into this market. You can probably expect to lose 10-20% back to the bookie here. So long term this offer will cost you about €2 to €4. 2. You can back multiple scorers and get free bets on each one. This is a huge pro - its the offer that keeps giving. I would draw the line at 3 players as there is a €10 free bet limit per week. So after 5 goals per week you can't earn any more value. 3. You only get €2 free bet each time your pick scores (up to a max €10 per customer per week). On first sight this looks like a con. But if your man s

#888sportbashing

Image
This promotion has now been ended by the online bookmaker. Read my tips on free bet promotions here . This is a case study of how to put that into use. These are the tips that the bookies don't want you to know. 888sport.com banned me within two months for winning too much. 888sport offer an Acca Club promotion : The 1st rule of ‘The Acca club’ is 3 legs or more! Get your weekly FREE BETS!   Simply: Register  - Join  'The Acca Club' . Bet  - Make as many multiple bets of €5+ as you can each week. Get  - Earn yourself a Free Bet that you can use on any multiple! With 888sport.com for 6 multiples of €5+ you earn a €10 free bet. So this is what I did. See image left for quick way of picking 6 multiples. Pick 5 matches as close to odds of 1.1 as possible (1.1 is the minimum odds, anything less than this won't qualify you for the promotion). Click permutations, click the "Bankers" toggle switch, and finally select the match

The bookie's don't want you to know this

I have been sharing tips on my blog for a while now and putting them into practice on various online bookie sites. I started playing some promotions at the end of April 2015 and honestly have a profit of over €500 in those three months. I got my first set back today: Dear David, Due to a business decision, please be aware that you are no longer eligible to take part in 888sport promotions. As a result of this, your 888sport account will not be eligible to receive any bonuses or free bets. In order to avoid disappointment, please do not attempt to take part in any 888sport promotions. We apologize for the inconvenience, but these measures are necessary in order for 888sport to be able to continue offering promotions to our recreational customer base. Please do not attempt to open any further accounts with 888sport as these will be blocked and deposits may not be returned. Regards, Operations Team www.support@888sport.com My strategy with 888sport was to place 6 real money trebl

Premier League Top Scorer Promotion

Image
Paddypower are re-runnning their top goalscorer promotion from last season. See here how I turned this to my favour last season. This season the bookie highly rates Aguero and Costa. So I am recommending putting €20 on both Aguero and Costa, and €10 e/w bet on maybe Wayne Rooney or one of the outside favourites.  With these three players likely to score at least 13 goals each next season this will likely earn us 3 x 13 x €2 free bets. So €78 in free bets which with a bit of thinking you should be able to convert back to €62.40 in real money. So you will probably win back your stake before the bet is settled. For tips on getting the most from your free bets click here . Raheem Sterling is 66/1 to make top goalscorer, but the odds (see below) are suggesting that Paddy Power are reckoning on him hitting the net 9 or 10 times next season. I take this to mean that those players quoted at 20/1 and shorter are likely to score at least a few more goals, say at lea

FIFA Rankings Day

The 9th July sees the latest release of the FIFA World Rankings. These rankings will be used on the 25th of July to determine the Pots for the WC2018 qualifying draw. The teams will be be drawn into 9 groups based on these Pots. The 9 groups winners qualify automatically and the 8 best runners up go into a playoff. The Pots are determined by FIFA Ranking Pts, I have added some other team strength indicators in the below tables. Hover over some fields for more details. Bookie Rating is the odds of winning the WC2018 outright. Best result is calculated based on FIFA Ranking points earned (based on match result and level of competition and level of opponent). POT 1 FIFA Ranking Pts Bookie Rating Last 4 yrs W-D-L Last 4 yrs win % Best Result last 4 yrs Form Germany 1411 9/2 33-11-8 63.46% 7-1 vs Brazil L D W D W L Spain 1110 8/1 38-7-10 69.09% 1-0 vs Croatia W L W L W W Netherlands 1204 14/1 28-11-13 53.85% 5-1 vs Spain L W D W L W Belgium 1244 16/1 26-11-7 59.09% 1-0 vs Russ

Make money on Peru vs Paraguay

Image
The third/fourth place play-off often is a meaningless affair. So lets put some meaning into it by putting some interesting bets. Check out Paddy Powers offer. Bet €20 and win €10 in free bets. We can make this work. Tip 1: Always put your real money bet on the most likely outcomes. There is two reasons for this really. 1. This gives you a more stable balance, winning a little a lot instead of winning a lot a little. You're less likely to deplete your bankroll waiting for your wins to come in. 2. The bookie's seem to offer better value on the favourites. See some analysis here . The promotion limits you to odds of 1/2 or higher. So we are looking for outcomes like: First Half Under 1.5 goals @ 1/2, Peru under 6 corners @ 1/2, Both teams to score @ 8/15. Pick as many bets like this as you like, so that the total real money staked makes €20. Tip 2: Always put your FREE bets on the long shots The bookie returns the winnings from the FREE bet only. They don'

Copa America Betting Tips

Image
For these tips I am taking advantage of paddypower.com 's free bet promotion. In May I won over €100 on this strategy on the Premier League matches. These profits are documented in my latest article here . Since that article PaddyPower have continued the promotion on some International friendlies and some Copa America fixtures. In June I have managed to win another clear €100. The key now is to place my real money bets on outcomes at 1/2 (this is the shortest odds allowed by the promotion). By betting on shortest odds possible and combining outcomes I am able to guarantee the minimum risk for my real money. This frees me up to be creative with the free bets - here I am always looking for 13/2 or 7/1 odds for my free bets (to see why - read here ). This way I had Paraguay at 13/2 in-play against Brazil to qualify for the Semi Final. I also had 6 plus goals backed in-play in the Argentina/Peru match at 13/2. I won about €30 on each of these. Both were free bets. The free bets