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Showing posts from September, 2015

I'm backing Martial on Betfair

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Betfair are offering a special promotion for the Man Utd match. They are paying double odds on the first scorer market. Check their website here .  For example if you back Wayne Rooney to score first at 5/1 for €10. Your odds will be doubled. You will be paid winnings of €60 in cash and €50 in free bets. This offers good value.  What I recommend is  1. Back one of Martial or Rooney as first scorer. They are both 9/2 joint favourites  at the time of writing . 2. If you win wait for your free bet to be credited, then bet on a similar 9/2 outcome with your free bet. I would probably go with Martial as he is showing better recent form. The bookies know this too though and if they still rate them equally likely to score then they probably are equally likely to score, so pick either joint favourite. Never use your free bet on short odds. A €50 free bet at odds of 1/10 will pay back €5 almost certainly. But a €50 free bet at odds of 4/1 will pay back €200 about 20% of the time

Ireland's precarious path to France 2016

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The recent slip up from Scotland in Georgia means that Ireland are back in the hunt for Euro qualification. They are 3rd in their group and four points ahead of Scotland. Assuming that Scotland beat Gibraltar then a win in either of Ireland's last two games (Germany[H] and Poland[A]) would be enough to guarantee 3rd and at least a playoff. A draw in either would suffice if Scotland fail to beat Poland in Scotland. Ireland can even lose both and still hold on to 3rd if Scotland lose to Poland. If Ireland do hold on to 3rd spot they would likely go into a playoff against one of the other third placed teams. See below 3rd placed teams ranked courtesy of wikipedia . Currently Ukraine would qualify automatically and the rest would be seeded according to the UEFA National Co-efficient. The unofficial rankings are as below (courtesy of footballseeding.com ). Most teams have one or two more games before the below ranking will be made official and much can change in those few ga