FoG

The warm up matches give a good indication on which players are in form. It also gives us an indication of where the national coaches minds are in regards their first 11. To be top scorer you have to be in form and a starter. During the past week of International Friendlies I monitored the Exchange prices for the top scorers. I use the exchange prices to calculate probabilities (for example 100/1 ~= 1% chance). The biggest movers are graphed below. Exchange Price movement on the Top Scorer market in betfair. Aleksander Mitrovic : A hat-trick against Bolivia in a 5-1  win for the Serb seems to have triggered some interest in him. Not only does it show that he is on form, but also may be an indication that Serbia can go deep. It was certainly an impressive score line.  You can still get Mitrovic at 150/1 at Bet365. Mario Mandzukic : The Croatian scored in the Friendly win against Senegal. I don't see much else behind the move for this veteran striker who would have b...