GAA Interest
I have had relative success taking advantage of the Bookie promotions. For example I pocketed €100 in one month on the Free In-play bets on the Premier League. I have also already won my stake back with Sergio Aguero and look set to pick up the big prize there too. So this promotion on the GAA has caught my attention. You have to stake €25 on the outright championship winner (you can bet each way). You get a free €5 bet for each match they win. My strategy here is 1. Back Dublin to win Outright @ 11/8. 2. Back Kerry to win Outright each way @ 3/1. 3. For each free bet earned, back a 4/1 underdog. On the straight real bet, I don't have a positive expectation. There is a pretty big bookie edge built into this market with the implied probabilities adding up to 120%. So if you mark down the stakes by dividing by 120% - the estimated long term value from my €25 stake is a €4.17 loss on each bet. Double that to give: expecte...