The hidden battle for Euro 2016 seeding

Now that Ireland are guaranteed at least a play off, we can turn our attention to our potential opposition. 

 The final UEFA coefficients are beginning to take shape to determine whether we could face Ukraine in a play off, or an easier prospect like Slovenia. It is important, because it can make a huge difference.

seeding calculation are based on this work: http://www.footballseeding.com/national-ranking-uefa/

Option 1: beat Poland
To guarantee qualification Ireland need to beat Poland. Then we would go straight through without the need for a playoff. A high score draw would also do - anything 2-2 or above.

 Option 2: Draw with Poland
A draw then Ireland would probably be unseeded and face one of Ukraine, Croatia, Bosnia or Sweden.

Option 3: Draw with Poland and hope for a couple of favours.
But if results did go our way then with a draw we could be seeded and face Albania, Slovenia, Turkey or Norway.

For that to happen we would need both Norway to replace Croatia, and Turkey to hold off Netherlands.  

 Option 4: Defeat
A defeat and it will be more difficult to be seeded. Denmark will remain ahead of Ireland in the coefficient system, Turkey could also potentially rise above us. To move up to a seeded position even in defeat Ireland would need Norway to replace Croatia in 3rd, Turkey to hold off Netherlands but do it without winning and Albania to stay behind Denmark.

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