Strength of Opposition [Dunkest]

This is another article in my series on the Dunkest fantasy NBA league.


So you have read my article here and made your shopping list.  You have strengthened your team.  You have a few players picked that you want to rotate in and out of your squad depending on the teams strength of schedule as discussed here.

You can also consider the strength of opposition.  This will be important for who you will pick for your captain and who you will leave on your subs bench.  It may also be important for picking short term trade to target a specific opponent.

The table below list all the opponents by Dunkest points conceded so far this season.  The values are given as average points per player per game.  For example the average player would expect to score 15.25 points in one game against Minesota Timberwolves but only 9.28 points in one game against Golden State Warriors.

Click on the table headers to sort.


TeamRebounds
Conceded
 Points ConcededAssists
Conceded
Team Result
Conceded
Missed Fields Goals AgainstSteals
Conceded
Turnovers
Conceded
Missed Free Throws AgainstStarting 5Treble Double ConcededDouble Double ConcededBlocks ConcededTotal Dunkest Points Conceded
Minnesota Timberwolves49.973.252.03-3.911.08-2.17-0.450.4600.340.815.35
Philadelphia 76ers4.149.283.322.25-4.041.46-2.29-0.550.4500.310.7915.12
New York Knicks3.969.573.12.1-4.061.11-1.92-0.550.4700.330.5114.62
Los Angeles Lakers4.139.993.391.13-4.010.91-1.87-0.630.4600.440.5814.48
Detroit Pistons4.259.423.331.36-4.251.02-1.91-0.490.4700.50.7114.39
Charlotte Hornets4.029.413.231.13-4.190.81-1.75-0.40.470.060.450.7113.9
Utah Jazz3.789.672.851.06-4.151.15-1.66-0.490.480.060.320.6813.72
Sacramento Kings3.729.883.250.56-4.491.16-1.65-0.550.4700.30.8813.44
Orlando Magic3.999.273.140.74-4.151.04-1.73-0.550.4700.390.8113.41
Denver Nuggets4.19.783.080.58-4.340.96-1.78-0.680.470.120.350.8113.38
Boston Celtics4.079.833.150.71-4.491.04-2.02-0.50.4700.340.7113.26
New Orleans Pelicans4.049.72.97-0.02-4.180.92-1.84-0.520.4800.370.8512.75
Indiana Pacers49.052.790.85-4.261.09-1.69-0.620.4700.330.7112.68
Brooklyn Nets4.169.233.180.14-4.291.06-1.97-0.550.4700.390.6712.45
Miami Heat3.769.252.950.46-3.81.08-2.04-0.590.4700.290.6212.45
Milwaukee Bucks4.079.533.24-0.02-4.371.23-2.27-0.690.4800.350.7112.19
Cleveland Cavaliers3.779.293.5-0.45-4.11.04-1.83-0.410.4700.280.712.18
Phoenix Suns4.29.822.76-0.22-4.281.14-2.14-0.60.4700.410.5412.07
Oklahoma City Thunder3.979.173.090.03-4.521.06-1.79-0.580.4700.270.6811.77
San Antonio Spurs4.019.322.96-0.52-4.451.15-1.9-0.50.4700.490.6211.62
Los Angeles Clippers3.869.373.42-1.01-4.090.94-1.94-0.610.470.060.350.4211.21
Dallas Mavericks4.219.683.14-1.27-4.310.95-2.26-0.550.470.110.410.4911
Atlanta Hawks4.19.263.46-1.45-4.431.05-2.13-0.510.4800.570.6710.96
Toronto Raptors4.019.63.28-1.62-4.250.83-2.08-0.620.480.120.490.7710.94
Chicago Bulls3.969.162.85-0.97-4.611.06-1.58-0.470.4800.380.710.84
Memphis Grizzlies4.19.272.84-1.5-4.370.97-2.06-0.540.480.120.260.7710.27
Houston Rockets3.99.092.93-1.3-4.421.2-2.13-0.510.4700.260.7910.18
Portland Trail Blazers4.239.152.72-1.78-4.721.16-1.74-0.480.4700.430.519.91
Washington Wizards3.839.122.45-1.3-4.251.11-2.03-0.580.470.120.210.629.75
Golden State Warriors4.179.152.88-1.98-4.731.25-2.21-0.610.4700.390.529.28
Grand Total4.029.443.080-4.281.07-1.94-0.550.470.030.370.6812.33

This is similar to the Strength of Schedule analysis before but much more specific.  For one thing the opponent strength is based directly on Dunkest points conceded and not on bookie odds.

The second advantage is that this table is broken down to the finest detail.  For example A. Davis (and any good centre) feeds off rebounds.  Limit his rebounds and you will limit his scoring opportunities.  So the above table ranks Sacramento Kings as the team who gave up the least rebounds (only 3.75 per player per game).  Sure enough A. Davis Dunkest points was limited to 18 vs the Kings when they met earlier this season.  This is way below his average of about 37 per game.  Davis plays Wizards this match day who have a similarly good record at limiting rebounds.  This might not be a good game to put Davis on as your captain.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Deconstructing WDL and O/U 2.5 goals odds.

Chrome Extension 1000

Elo Reverse Calculator