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Premier League Top Goalscorer

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So I have this little app here  Top Goalscorer Sim . The Setup It runs a sim on goals scored per player.  The "Midpoint" is the midpoint between the Buy and Sell on the Season Goals market on Sporting Index.  This is the last read value.  The market suspends some players after significant news like an injury or transfer.  Most reads are fairly up to date, but Cole Palmer for example could revise his expected down a little as I haven't had a clean read from the market since his injury. So it then runs a little simulation for each player based on the average season goals expected.  I have added a dispersion factor also to add variation on some players.   New transfers , a lot more variance on those as unsure if they will be automatic starters.   Injury prone players, a lot more variance on those as well.   And maybe penalty takers , or potential penalty takers could have some variance.  They could even have some kind of "du...

Ballon D'Or Stuff

This is my Ballon D'Or Stuff. Ballon Dor Spirit Country Quiz Ballon Dor Connections Game Ballon Dor Market watch and Predictions   Ballon DOr voter clustering   Ballon DOr and FIFA MBP votes 2010 to 2024   This is other ppl's Ballon D'Or Stuff.  Social Identity Theory Voting Behaviour Research Paper   Does the voting system for the FIFA Ballon d’or satisfy the discussed axioms of voting?   Ballon D'Or network map 2013

Ballon D'Or Connections

Ballon d'Or Connections Game Check Selection New Puzzle more links | credits: ChatGPT

Ballon D'Or Spirit Country

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Who Is Your Ballon d'Or Spirit Country? Pick your 5 players based on the criteria below for the period 1st Aug 2023 to 31st Jul 2024 to elect your own Ballon D'Or contender. 1) Individual performances, decisive and impressive character 2) Team performances and achievements 3) Class and fair play You will be matched with the Ballon D'Or Journalist who voted closest to your vote. Submit Reset

Achilles and the Tortoise

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The Paradox: In this thought experiment, Achilles, a swift warrior, is racing against a slow-moving tortoise. To make it fair, the tortoise is given a head start. The paradox argues that Achilles can never overtake the tortoise, no matter how fast he runs. Here’s how the paradox is laid out: Initial Position : The tortoise starts ahead of Achilles. Achilles Moves to the Tortoise's Initial Position : By the time Achilles reaches the point where the tortoise started, the tortoise has moved forward a small distance. Achilles Moves to the Tortoise's New Position : Achilles then moves to the new position of the tortoise, but by the time he gets there, the tortoise has moved even further ahead. Repetition : This process continues indefinitely, with Achilles always reaching where the tortoise was, but the tortoise always being a little bit ahead. The paradox suggests that Achilles will never be able to overtake the tortoise because there are infinitely many points he must reach where ...

Market Watch: Ballon D'Or

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The Ballon D'Or has been presented since 1956, there have been numerous changes in the voting process in that time.  So much so that much of the old data is irrelevant.  We will look mostly at recent years - namely the last 10 awards (2013-2023). Even in that time there are changes in the voting process.  2013: It was Media, Captains and Coaches voted for the best player in the world (and it had been this way since 2010). 2016: it reverted to Media (journalists) only, one representing every country in the world. 2022: it was further restricted to journalist one representing the top 100 FIFA ranked nations. Also in 2022 there was changes in the criteria.  Before 2022 the players overall career was also a consideration, in 2022 it was explicitly just based on current season. How have these changes effected results. Media opinion vs Captains/Coaches. We have the breakdown of votes for the period for when both Media (Journos) and Captain/Coaches voted. Ballon D'Or Vote b...

Twitter Watch: Gareth Southgate

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With England, there is always alot of discussion about Gareth Southgate. But how much do managers really matter anyway.  According to this article the answer is "not much" and even goes as far as to present a theory that managers are mere scapegoats for the board and owners.  Protects them from any real criticism when they can just sack/blame the manager. I also think that a managers influence is becoming smaller and smaller over the years as modern football clubs have directors of football, data analytics departments and other teams of people that they lean on for support.  Its not all the managers decision as much as the Alex Ferguson days. Furthermore for an International manager, he doesn't have a say in player development (he sees them 3 or 4 times per year only on international break).  He can't transfer players, he has to accept the players that he has.  So in both those aspects he has alot less control, a lot less influence. That is not to say that the ...