FoG Prediction
This is a player based rating adjusted for the market information. The first step for each country was to list the squad and the clubs that their players play for. Once the full squads were announced, I averaged the top 16 players club's elo rating (from clubelo.com). Assumption : The assumption here is that players find their level, a player that has made it to Man City is better than a player stuck in some middle eastern league. Risks : Not all teams are rated on clubelo.com and I have had a guess on the clubs outside Europe and the lower league European clubs. This will only affect some countries who aren't going to make much of a dent in the outrights anyway. The big 5 leagues of England, Spain, Germany, France and Italy are packed with foreign talent filled in with local talent. As a result I feel its inflated the ratings for those countries. It's possible also that teams can be so much more than the sum of their parts, this aggregation of the individ...