FoG

Input odds below (in decimal): Home Odds: Draw Odds: Away odds: Calculate Params Elo Elo is simply a way of rating teams.  The ratings can be used to compare teams and generate probabilities for head to heads.  The probability one team will beat another is just a function of the difference in their rating. p = 1/(1+10^(-diff/400))  The tweet further below from ClubElo introduces another parameter r to take account of draws. Elo: The Hard Way The process is better described on eloratings.net  and clubelo.com .  If you visit these sites you can see it is quite complex.  Basically you initialise all teams to 1000 points for example.  Then you need a history of results and update each teams ratings depending if they win, lose or draw.  There are nuances to worry about, home field advantage, big wins, inter-league adjustments, k-factor weightings, etc. Elo: The Easy Way Say someone has already rated the teams, and also they have tak...

There has been a bit of an incident on twitter and part of the fall out has seen a popular tipster asking for some  advice . Now clearly this is a successful tipster/content writer and we are an obscure blog that nobody reads, so who are we to give advice.  On the other hand, I do have some opinions so go ahead and read on if you are interested, or dont.  1. Know your audience. Are you writing for aspirational bettors that want to learn how it all works, they want to learn the process of how you make picks and so be able to make picks for themselves.  Or are you writing for a recreational audience, people that want to know who to bet without having to do the hard thinking themselves.  Maybe they also want to read some interesting content around the tips.  If you are writing for the £5 bettor then by all means fill the piece up with interesting narrative and unattainable prices.  However you should also be clear that this is just betting for fun, don...

<< Ziggy (voiced by Deborah Pratt) - The supercomputer Sam designed to run Project Quantum Leap. The computer has a feminine personality and a massive ego; the latter feature is an accomplishment Sam is particularly proud of, as it makes Ziggy much more than a simple number-crunching machine. In early episodes, it is suggested that Ziggy is the computer's operator. But when Sam speaks to Ziggy directly, it shows that Ziggy is a self-operating computer who is capable of recognizing and expressing human emotions. Ziggy is programmed with historical information through Sam's life and has access to outside databases, and is able to project the likely effect of Sam's actions on history. While Al is with Sam, he gets information from Ziggy through a faulty handheld device. Al can get information from Ziggy through this device, or by simply asking out loud (Al sees whatever location Sam is in as a holographic projection and is always physically in close proximity to Ziggy)....