FoG

  Rams played Seahawks in the evening match, and Lions and Packers met later on Sunday.  If Rams won their match then Lions needed to win to make the play off, if Rams lost then Lions had less motivation.  In other words the matches were related - and so combining the odds by multiplying as bookies do to create a double will be just plainly wrong.  Some books still allowed this however.  Although the double lost, was it still value? I tracked the movements of odds during the Rams/Seahawks match and noted the before and after odds.  I wanted to answer two questions. Was brodders bet value?  How does motivation affect a team? You can see below, that just at the end of the match the Lions drifted out a bit, this made sense, with the Rams losing they had less motivation to win their game.  They are pros, they still have motivation to win (for the sake of winning, to eliminate the Packers).  However when it comes to the crunch does the coach/playe...